AJC Varsity
AJC Varsity

Maxwell GHSA playoff projections heading into championship week

The simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.
Mercedes-Benz Stadium hosts the high school football state championship games each December. (Jason Getz/AJC 2023)

Credit: Jason.Getz@ajc.com

Credit: Jason.Getz@ajc.com

Mercedes-Benz Stadium hosts the high school football state championship games each December. (Jason Getz/AJC 2023)
By Loren Maxwell
Dec 15, 2025

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2025 season. The simulation completed 1 million iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Class 6A

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship, along with the associated odds.

Class 5A

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Class 4A

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Class 3A Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Class 2A Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Class A Division I Public

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Class A Division II

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Smaller Private

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

About the Author

Loren Maxwell
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